The Third Home Rule Bill.
In the battle over the Parliament Bill (1910-1911), his speeches
were directed to showing the effect that this measure would have
on the Irish problem, for if the veto of the House of Lords were
abolished, the passage of Home Rule was assured. In 1911 the
Ulster Unionist Council appointed a commission "to take
immediate steps, in consultation with Sir Edward Carson, to
frame and submit a constitution for a provisional government in
Ulster". ... At a great demonstration on 23 September, at
Craigavon, near Belfast, he was welcomed as the new leader, and
in a speech in reply to addresses declaring for resistance to
the jurisdiction of a Dublin parliament, he declared that the
people of Ulster and he joined together would yet defeat "the
most nefarious conspiracy that has ever been hatched against a
free people" ... . In spite of ... provocation and threats, the
discipline maintained by him prevented any outbreak of disorder
in Ulster. ... On 9 April 1912, at a great demonstration at
Balmoral, near Belfast, Bonar Law, after assuring Ulster of the
support of English Unionists, shook hands with Carson as a
visible sign of the pledge amid great enthusiasm.
When in the committee stage of the [Third] Home Rule Bill an
amendment was put down ... to exclude the counties of Antrim,
Down, Derry, and Armagh from the jurisdiction of the Dublin
parliament, Carson advised that it should be supported. His
colleagues had doubts, but ... unanimously supported him. Once
more, at a gathering at Blenheim on 29 July, Bonar Law pledged
the support of the unionists of England, and Carson announced
that the people of Northern Ireland would shortly challenge the
government to interfere with them if they dared, and would await
the result with equanimity. This was followed by the drafting
of a ... covenant ... which was to be signed all over the
province on 28 September, known as "Ulster day". Carson
described the covenant as a step forward, not in defiance, but
in defence, not in a spirit of aggression nor of ascendancy, but
with a full knowledge that Ulster would carry out everything
which it meant, whatever the consequences. Following this up,
Carson moved, in January 1913, the exclusion of the whole
province of Ulster from the scope of the bill. The amendment
was defeated, although Carson's speech made a powerful
impression, and on 16 January the bill was read a third time. A
fortnight later it was defeated in the Lords by a majority of
257, but it had only to be passed again in two succeeding
sessions in order to become law, and therefore preparations were
pushed forward in Ulster ... for a provisional government, and
Carson, accepting the chairmanship of the central authority,
said Ulster might be coerced into submission, but in that case
... would have to be governed as a conquered country. To the
guarantee fund of £250,000 for members of the Ulster Volunteer
Force and their dependants who might suffer as a result of their
services, Carson subscribed immediately £10,000.
The importation of arms and ammunition into Ireland having been
prohibited by royal proclamation in December 1913,
correspondence took place between Carson and the Prime Minister,
H.H. Asquith, which many people looked upon as the forerunner of
some concessions on the part of the government. Carson,
however, ... had no illusions on the subject, and his scepticism
was shown on the subject, and his scepticism was shown to be
well founded ... when it was announced that warships had been
dispatched to Lamlash in the Isle of Aran, and that extra troops
were to be rushed into Ulster. The immediate sequel was the
"Curragh incident" (20 March), and the imminence of civil war
was brought home to the world. Lastly, when the gun-running at
Larne (24 April) was denounced by Asquith as a grave and
unprecedented outrage, Carson replied that he took full
responsibility for everything that had been done. ...
The promised amending bill was introduced and passed the Commons
(25 May), but on 8 July the Lords substituted the permanent
exclusion of the whole province of Ulster in the place of
"county option". Rumours reached Carson that there were
differences of opinion in the Cabinet over the amending bill.
At the subsequent conference of party leaders opened at
Buckingham Palace on 21 July, Carson and James Craig (afterwards
Viscount Craigavon) attended as the Ulster representatives, and
when, on 24 July, it broke down on the question [of] what
portion of Ulster should be excluded, the amending bill, with
"county option", was put down for second reading on 30 July. By
then, however, the country was on the brink of war, and at
Asquith's request, in order to avoid domestic controversy at
such a crisis, Carson and Bonar Law consented to the
postponement of the proceedings on the amending bill on the
express assurance of the Prime Minister that "this was of course
without prejudice to its future".